Can touchline substitution cues move soccer live markets?
Provisional public touchline cue hypothesis; soccer has broad courtsiding support, but direct prediction-market buyer demand still needs validation.
Will touchline substitution-board cues move soccer live markets before the official match feed updates?
Buyer briefs this pack could answer.
Provisional arena-visible goalie-pull and line-change cue hypothesis; direct NHL buyer demand remains unvalidated.
Will visible NHL goalie-pull or line-change cues move live markets before broadcast confirmation?
Provisional ballpark-visible reliever warmup and pinch-hit cue hypothesis; direct MLB prediction-market buyer demand still needs validation.
Will MLB bullpen or pinch-hit prep create a live-market repricing window before official confirmation?
Seat-level public observation stream for visible NBA substitution cues before the official feed or broadcast graphic catches up.
Will visible NBA bench substitution cues move live player-prop prices before official feeds update?
Adjacent inventory on the same question cluster.
Per-substitution-intent ticks for the DEN vs MIN single game. Each tick reports an observed stage of an incoming player (stood up, walked to scorer's table, warm-up off, on court). Raw observation only — no modeling, no impact estimate.
Will the Denver Nuggets or Minnesota Timberwolves win?
Provisional arena-visible goalie-pull and line-change cue hypothesis; direct NHL buyer demand remains unvalidated.
Will visible NHL goalie-pull or line-change cues move live markets before broadcast confirmation?
Provisional ballpark-visible reliever warmup and pinch-hit cue hypothesis; direct MLB prediction-market buyer demand still needs validation.
Will MLB bullpen or pinch-hit prep create a live-market repricing window before official confirmation?
- Substitute stripped and ready, fourth-official board prep, and touchline instruction cues
- Medical-staff and tactical-shape context tagged when publicly visible
- Cue delivery compared with official match-feed update
- No private team, tunnel, dressing-room, or restricted broadcast access
- Only signals visible to ordinary spectators are accepted
- No video retransmission, tunnel access, team staff source, or private tactical communication is used
How a call on this pack settles.
- 01Escrow
When you place a call, the protocol pre-charges your wallet by the per-call price, sized against the pack's predicted quality. Funds sit in escrow — they haven't settled to the seller yet.
- 02Delivery
The seller fulfills the call. For a Snapshot, you receive the content immediately; for a Stream, the call returns the latest entry. The seller's per-trade Deposit is locked in parallel.
- 03Verification window
A short window opens for you to challenge if actual quality falls short of predicted. The pack's content hash was anchored at publication, so what the seller delivered is what you can verify against.
- 04Payout, refund, or clawback
If quality meets or exceeds predicted, escrow releases to the seller and their Deposit unlocks. If it falls short, escrow partially refunds to you by the gap. Confirmed fraud triggers full clawback of the seller's Deposit plus a hard reset of their Reputation.
Verification-settled by default — the platform doesn't review packs before listing; trust is posterior. Dispute routing and bond tiers live under /network.