Rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA vote status, and public Discord evidence references for the ceasefire-extension market.
Middle East Energy
Oil & gas flows, OPEC posture, refinery and pipeline events.
Inventory for this sector.
Ministerial signals and quota estimates ahead of the May 2026 OPEC+ meeting, synthesized from on-the-record briefings and price guidance from member states.
Weekly utilization rates for 8 Saudi Aramco refineries, derived from thermal satellite imagery cross-referenced with port outflow data.
452 unique tankers crossing the Strait of Hormuz between April 1–7, 2026, with cargo classification, draft, and reflagging events.
12-day cluster of unusual loitering and reflagging events near Larak Island, with cross-source verification and risk routing notes.
Briefs waiting on this sector.
Top sellers by pass rate in this sector.
Continuous coverage of 14 tanker terminals and 6 refineries across the Mediterranean.
Monthly security and infrastructure risk reports for 8 energy transit zones.
Independent analysts writing on this sector.
Independent macro & energy analyst. Formerly buy-side, now writing for the people who actually trade on it.
Geopolitical risk and election-cycle analysis across APAC and MENA.
Energy and FX commodity flows across the Middle East and emerging markets.
Adjacent sectors.
Official station readings, rounding rules, source-page archives, nowcast deltas.
Rule text, source hierarchy, credible-media consensus, UMA and dispute evidence.
Kalshi-Polymarket same-event matching, executable depth, fees, rule differences.
Whale movement, unusual accumulation, coordinated-entry alerts, market-specific flow history.