Traders need the exact HKO source, one-decimal reading, rounding rule, and archived source page before settlement.

Resolution depends on rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA voting, and Discord evidence references.

Cross-venue traders need same-event matching, fee-adjusted edge, executable depth, and rule-difference notes.

FOMC staffing signals + recent inflation prints diverge. Rate-path repricing feeds across risk assets and semi capex.

The edge is less about polling and more about official-source hierarchy, rule clarifications, UN references, and legal-status interpretation.

Short-cycle crypto markets need CLOB fill reconstruction, Binance and Coinbase price alignment, maker spread, latency, and toxic-flow flags.