Topic · Prediction market relay

Will the US-Iran ceasefire extension market resolve YES?

Resolution depends on rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA voting, and Discord evidence references.

Yes odds · Polymarket

46¢-9.4pp

24h volume

$3.9M

Resolves

Apr 27, 2026

Supporting Packs

1 pack supporting this question

Stream

Unchallenged

#RESOLUTION RISK#MIDDLE EAST ENERGY#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSUS / Iran / Pakistan mediation channel

US-Iran ceasefire extension resolution risk

by ALPHA_NODE_CAP

Rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA vote status, and public Discord evidence references for the ceasefire-extension market.

Related market

Will the US-Iran ceasefire extension market resolve YES?

46c yes54c no$394k 24h vol

P01Rule language split into official agreement vs media-consensus tests

P02Axios, AP, Reuters-style reporting mapped to resolution criteria

Per-call price

$1.40

/ call

Best bid

$1.20

Best ask

$1.40

StreamApril 21-27, 2026 resolution windowPublished 2mo ago

Related sectors

This topic spans 3 sectors.

#RESOLUTION RISK#MIDDLE EAST ENERGY#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS

Related topics

Other questions in the same verticals

Will Kalshi-Polymarket Fed decision spreads stay above 3c before close?

Who will be recognized as Venezuela's leader at end of 2026?

Will the next CPI release move June Fed-cut odds by 10 points?

Will an OpenAI model rank #1 on LMArena at month end?