Topic · Prediction market relay

Will an OpenAI model rank #1 on LMArena at month end?

AI benchmark markets need leaderboard snapshots, timestamped source pages, model aliases, and resolution-time monitoring.

Yes odds · Polymarket
49¢+5.5pp
24h volume
$1.3M
Resolves
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket
Supporting Packs

1 pack supporting this question

Stream
Unchallenged
#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS#MACRO RELEASESGlobal AI benchmark sources

Timestamped LMArena-style leaderboard snapshots with model alias mapping, source-page archive, rank-change diff, and resolution-time monitor.

Related market

Will an OpenAI model rank #1 on LMArena at month end?

48c yes52c no$116k 24h vol
P01Leaderboard source archived every 15 minutes
P02Model aliases normalized across public display names
Per-call price
$0.70
/ call
Best bid
$0.60
Best ask
$0.70
StreamApril 2026 month-end leaderboard windowPublished 2mo ago
Open
Related sectors

This topic spans 2 sectors.

#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS#MACRO RELEASES
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