Stream
US-Iran ceasefire extension resolution risk
Rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA vote status, and public Discord evidence references for the ceasefire-extension market.
Per call
$1.40
/ callBid 1.2
Ask 1.4
Policy & Regulator Signals
Draft rules, hearings, docket updates, agency staffing.
ScopeGlobal
Watchers1,620
Active Packs
10
Open Requests
3
Providers
2
Creators
2
Active packs
Inventory for this sector.
Stream
AI benchmark leaderboard source tracking
Timestamped LMArena-style leaderboard snapshots with model alias mapping, source-page archive, rank-change diff, and resolution-time monitor.
Per call
$0.70
/ callBid 0.6
Ask 0.7
Stream
Fed decision spreads across Kalshi and Polymarket
Normalized Fed decision markets across Kalshi and Polymarket with fee-adjusted spread, executable depth, slippage estimate, and rule-difference card.
Per call
$0.80
/ callBid 0.7
Ask 0.8
Stream
CPI release and Fed-cut repricing
BLS release parser, CPI nowcast delta, Fed-cut odds reaction, and cross-venue repricing table for the next inflation print.
Per call
$1
/ callBid 0.9
Ask 1
Stream
Wallet flows around the Venezuela leader market
Large-wallet accumulation, rule-clarification timeline, and official-source hierarchy for the Venezuela leader end-2026 market.
Per call
$0.70
/ callBid 0.6
Ask 0.7
Stream
Senior staff movements at the US Fed
Continuous feed of senior staff arrivals, departures, and meeting patterns at the Marriner Eccles building.
Per call
$1.90
/ callBid 1.7
Ask 1.9
Stream
South Korea youth voter sentiment in April 2026
Mixed-method sentiment study covering Seoul, Busan, Daegu and Incheon — 3,180 respondents aged 19–34, weighted to census.
Per call
$1.10
/ callBid 1
Ask 1.1
Snapshot
EU AI Act implementing rules pre-publication draft
Cross-validated draft of the EU Commission's implementing rules expected to be published April 11, with 4-source verification chain.
Per call
$1.75
/ callBid 1.62
Ask 1.75
Stream
Ethereum validator entry and exit flows in Week 14
Hourly validator entry/exit queue depths, principal flows, and concentration metrics.
Per call
$0.70
/ callBid 0.65
Ask 0.7
Snapshot
ASML shipment activity in Q1 2026
Quarterly model of ASML shipment volumes by destination region, cross-checked against port and rail data.
Per call
$16
/ callBid 14.5
Ask 16
Open requests
Briefs waiting on this sector.
openDue Apr 26, 2026
Budget range
$15–$25
openDue Apr 28, 2026
Fed speech sentiment through the FOMC cycle
@rates_desk
Budget range
$28–$42
openDue May 6, 2026
Q2 demand forecast for the Texas grid
@power_desk
Budget range
$48–$72
matchingDue Apr 26, 2026
Draft leak for EU sanctions package 15
@brussels_watch
Budget range
$38–$58
Top providers
Top sellers by pass rate in this sector.
A
ALPHA_NODE_CAP
Recurring weekly briefings on US semiconductor export-control developments.
Pass
94%
Fill
86%
Resp
3h
B
BERLIN_POLICY_WATCH
Timely coverage of EU legislative drafts and APAC election sentiment shifts.
Pass
94%
Fill
78%
Resp
6h
Creators
Independent analysts writing on this sector.
Takeshi Arai
@arai_chips
Semiconductor supply chain. Foundries, equipment, export controls.
From $24/mo
Trend · 30d
Watcher growth
+194 this month
Pack velocity
10 new packs in 30d
Request velocity
4 briefs in 30d
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Related
Adjacent sectors.
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Official station readings, rounding rules, source-page archives, nowcast deltas.
Global
Rule text, source hierarchy, credible-media consensus, UMA and dispute evidence.
Global
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Global
CLOB fills, exchange prices, oracle prices, maker spread, toxic-flow flags.
