Topic · Prediction market relay

Will Kalshi-Polymarket Fed decision spreads stay above 3c before close?

Cross-venue traders need same-event matching, fee-adjusted edge, executable depth, and rule-difference notes.

Yes odds · Polymarket
38¢+3.2pp
24h volume
$3.5M
Resolves
Apr 29, 2026
PolymarketKalshi
Supporting Packs

2 packs supporting this question

Stream
Unchallenged
#CROSS-VENUE ARB#MACRO RELEASES#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSUS

Normalized Fed decision markets across Kalshi and Polymarket with fee-adjusted spread, executable depth, slippage estimate, and rule-difference card.

Related market

Will Kalshi-Polymarket Fed decision spreads stay above 3c before close?

38c yes62c no$352k 24h vol
P0110,000+ cross-venue outcomes scanned per hour
P02Fed decision pair currently shows 3.2c fee-adjusted spread
Per-call price
$0.80
/ call
Best bid
$0.70
Best ask
$0.80
StreamApril 27-29, 2026 FOMC decision windowPublished 2mo ago
Open
Stream
Unchallenged
#MACRO RELEASES#CROSS-VENUE ARB#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSUnited States

BLS release parser, CPI nowcast delta, Fed-cut odds reaction, and cross-venue repricing table for the next inflation print.

Related market

Will the next CPI release move June Fed-cut odds by 10 points?

44c yes56c no$222k 24h vol
P01Official BLS release endpoint and timestamp plan
P02Headline and core nowcast deltas preloaded
Per-call price
$1
/ call
Best bid
$0.90
Best ask
$1
StreamNext CPI release cyclePublished 2mo ago
Open
Related sectors

This topic spans 3 sectors.

#CROSS-VENUE ARB#MACRO RELEASES#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS
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