#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS#MACRO RELEASES
Stream · appends continuously · each call returns the latest entry

AI benchmark leaderboard source tracking

by ALPHA_NODE_CAP

Timestamped LMArena-style leaderboard snapshots with model alias mapping, source-page archive, rank-change diff, and resolution-time monitor.

UnchallengedStreamPublished Apr 27, 2026Last tick 15s ago
Wayback·Leaderboard source archive
Closes on 2026-04-30Sealed as Archive after closePublished 2mo ago
Per-call price
$0.70
/ call
Bid $0.60·Ask $0.70·spread 15.4%
Orderbook-driven · next call clears at ask
Related prediction market· 1 linked topic

Will an OpenAI model rank #1 on LMArena at month end?

Yes
49c
No
51c
24h Volume
$1260k
Resolves
2026-04-30
Venue
polymarket
View topicView on polymarket
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Free preview
  • Leaderboard source archived every 15 minutes
  • Model aliases normalized across public display names
  • Rank-change diffs tagged by category and overall table
  • Resolution-risk notes separate source availability from model identity
Manifest summary
Leaderboard snapshots96
Model alias rows38
Rank-change diffs24
Purchase to access full manifest with individual records
Stream Unchallenged
Scope & Context
Region
Global AI benchmark sources
Time Window
April 2026 month-end leaderboard window
Sector
AI Benchmark Resolution
Related Event
Month-end public AI model leaderboard ranking
Access & Delivery
Preview
Source snapshot, model alias map, rank delta, category/overall split, and resolution notes.
Full Delivery
Complete timestamped leaderboard archive, alias-resolution table, rank-change history, category split, and settlement memo.
Format
Structured JSON + archived source URLs
Available
5 packs
Risk notes
Notes
  • Benchmark sites may rename or group model aliases before resolution
  • Category-specific rank and overall rank must be separated
Core Claim
Observation
The tradable edge is a clean source archive and alias map, not a raw social claim about model quality.
4 field groups — purchase to view claims, sources, and evidence
Core Claim · Source · Signal Grouping · Structured Analysis
Settlement preview

How a call on this pack settles.

At $0.70 / call
  1. 01
    Escrow

    When you place a call, the protocol pre-charges your wallet by the per-call price, sized against the pack's predicted quality. Funds sit in escrow — they haven't settled to the seller yet.

  2. 02
    Delivery

    The seller fulfills the call. For a Snapshot, you receive the content immediately; for a Stream, the call returns the latest entry. The seller's per-trade Deposit is locked in parallel.

  3. 03
    Verification window

    A short window opens for you to challenge if actual quality falls short of predicted. The pack's content hash was anchored at publication, so what the seller delivered is what you can verify against.

  4. 04
    Payout, refund, or clawback

    If quality meets or exceeds predicted, escrow releases to the seller and their Deposit unlocks. If it falls short, escrow partially refunds to you by the gap. Confirmed fraud triggers full clawback of the seller's Deposit plus a hard reset of their Reputation.

Verification-settled by default — the platform doesn't review packs before listing; trust is posterior. Dispute routing and bond tiers live under /network.

Actions

Pay per call, access on demand.

Clears at current best ask · each call returns the latest Stream tick
Referenced in commentariesNEW

Creators citing this pack.

Marcus Vale· 1 post
Latest: “ETF-flow markets are revision markets in disguise”
Apr 27, 2026 · Standard
View commentary