#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS
Stream · appends continuously · each call returns the latest entry

Senior staff movements at the US Fed

by ALPHA_NODE_CAP

Continuous feed of senior staff arrivals, departures, and meeting patterns at the Marriner Eccles building.

UnchallengedStreamPublished Apr 17, 2026Last tick 0s ago
Attested·DC insider sign-offWayback·Wayback org chart
Closes on 2026-06-30Snapshot pricing after close · $18.00 / callPublished 2mo ago
Per-call price
$1.90
/ call
Bid $1.70·Ask $1.90·spread 11.1%
Orderbook-driven · next call clears at ask
Related prediction market· 1 linked topic

Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?

Yes
38c
No
62c
24h Volume
$3240k
Resolves
2026-06-18
Venue
polymarket
View topicView on polymarket
Related requests

Buyer briefs this pack could answer.

No related requests yet.

Other packs by this seller

More from the same provider.

Also listed by ALPHA_NODE_CAP.
Stream
Unchallenged
#RESOLUTION RISK#MIDDLE EAST ENERGY#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSUS / Iran / Pakistan mediation channel

Rule text, official statements, credible-media consensus, UMA vote status, and public Discord evidence references for the ceasefire-extension market.

Related market

Will the US-Iran ceasefire extension market resolve YES?

46c yes54c no$394k 24h vol
P01Rule language split into official agreement vs media-consensus tests
Per-call price
$1.40
/ call
Best bid
$1.20
Best ask
$1.40
StreamApril 21-27, 2026 resolution windowPublished 2mo ago
Open
Stream
Unchallenged
#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALS#MACRO RELEASESGlobal AI benchmark sources

Timestamped LMArena-style leaderboard snapshots with model alias mapping, source-page archive, rank-change diff, and resolution-time monitor.

Related market

Will an OpenAI model rank #1 on LMArena at month end?

48c yes52c no$116k 24h vol
P01Leaderboard source archived every 15 minutes
Per-call price
$0.70
/ call
Best bid
$0.60
Best ask
$0.70
StreamApril 2026 month-end leaderboard windowPublished 2mo ago
Open
Stream
Unchallenged
#MACRO RELEASES#CROSS-VENUE ARB#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSUnited States

BLS release parser, CPI nowcast delta, Fed-cut odds reaction, and cross-venue repricing table for the next inflation print.

Related market

Will the next CPI release move June Fed-cut odds by 10 points?

44c yes56c no$222k 24h vol
P01Official BLS release endpoint and timestamp plan
Per-call price
$1
/ call
Best bid
$0.90
Best ask
$1
StreamNext CPI release cyclePublished 2mo ago
Open
Same topic packs

Adjacent inventory on the same question cluster.

Snapshot
Unchallenged
#POLICY & REGULATOR SIGNALSEurope — Brussels

Cross-validated draft of the EU Commission's implementing rules expected to be published April 11, with 4-source verification chain.

Related market

Will EU AI Act rules ship by April 15?

72c yes28c no$134k 24h vol
P01Verified by 4 independent sources
Per-call price
$1.75
/ call
Best bid
$1.62
Best ask
$1.75
SnapshotApril 5–7, 2026Published 2mo ago
Open
Free preview
  • 3 senior staff departures confirmed
  • Unusual 7am meeting pattern Monday through Wednesday
  • Cross-reference with FOMC calendar
  • Implications for rate-path signaling
Manifest summary
Entry log42
Meeting pattern summary1
FOMC cross-reference1
Purchase to access full manifest with individual records
Stream Unchallenged
Scope & Context
Region
US
Time Window
2026-Q2 rolling
Access & Delivery
Preview
Rolling entry log plus meeting pattern summary, updated every 2 hours.
Full Delivery
Full 42-entry log, signed observer receipts, FOMC cross-reference annotation.
Format
CSV + annotated PDF
Available
3 packs
Core Claim
Observation
Senior staff churn and meeting patterns diverge from FOMC calendar
3 field groups — purchase to view claims, sources, and evidence
Core Claim · Source · Structured Analysis
Settlement preview

How a call on this pack settles.

At $1.90 / call
  1. 01
    Escrow

    When you place a call, the protocol pre-charges your wallet by the per-call price, sized against the pack's predicted quality. Funds sit in escrow — they haven't settled to the seller yet.

  2. 02
    Delivery

    The seller fulfills the call. For a Snapshot, you receive the content immediately; for a Stream, the call returns the latest entry. The seller's per-trade Deposit is locked in parallel.

  3. 03
    Verification window

    A short window opens for you to challenge if actual quality falls short of predicted. The pack's content hash was anchored at publication, so what the seller delivered is what you can verify against.

  4. 04
    Payout, refund, or clawback

    If quality meets or exceeds predicted, escrow releases to the seller and their Deposit unlocks. If it falls short, escrow partially refunds to you by the gap. Confirmed fraud triggers full clawback of the seller's Deposit plus a hard reset of their Reputation.

Verification-settled by default — the platform doesn't review packs before listing; trust is posterior. Dispute routing and bond tiers live under /network.

Actions

Pay per call, access on demand.

Clears at current best ask · each call returns the latest Stream tick